Thursday, April 24, 2008

In or out?

Whether or not former Indianapolis Colts coach Jim Mora wants to, we're going to talk about playoffs today.

Not the NFL playoffs. Or even football playoffs. It's baseball season and the District 3 tournament is rapidly approaching.

The rule -- in its second year of existence -- is that teams must be at .500 by the predetermined cutoff, which is May 10, to be eligible for the field.

The following is a look at area teams, what they have to do to qualify and if we think they will. Records are prior to Thursday's games. (Schools listed alphabetically):

Bible Baptist (Class A, 2-7): The Bobcats have six games left, so they mathematically could make it but it's doubtful. Verdict: Out

Big Spring (Class AAA, 3-8): The Bulldogs must go 5-2 down the stretch to get in. Problem is, there aren't any gimmes on the remaining schedule. Verdict: Out

Boiling Springs (Class AA, 8-5): If the Bubblers only beat Milton Hershey and Steelton-Highspire down the stretch, they're still qualify. Verdict: In

Camp Hill (Class A, 7-5): Single-A is different due to the lack of teams. It's possible that half this field will have losing records and the Lions will be one of the top seeds: Verdict: In

Carlisle (Class AAAA, 3-10): The best Carlisle can finish is 9-10, meaning that 12-2, five-inning loss to Red Land on Wednesday eliminated the Thundering Herd from playoff contention.

Cedar Cliff (Class AAAA, 9-4): The Colts need only one more win to qualify. Verdict: In

Cumberland Valley (Class AAAA, 5-6): The Eagles have eight games remaining prior to the deadline. Before their guaranteed two games at the Hershey Tournament on May 3, CV has Big Spring, Carlisle, Central Dauphin East and Chambersburg on the schedule. If CV wins three of those it'll still need one more to get in at 10-9. Verdict: In

East Pennsboro (Class AAA, 4-8): At the deadline the Panthers will have 18 games, meaning two more losses will eliminate East Penn. Verdict: Out

Mechanicsburg (Class AAA, 6-7): The Wildcats have seven games left, so Mechanicsburg will have to go at least 4-3 down the stretch to get in. With Hershey, Bishop McDevitt, Lower Dauphin, Susquehanna Twp., Cumberland Valley, Middletown and James Buchanan on the schedule, that will be extremely difficult. Verdict: Out

Northern (Class AAA, 8-5): The Polar Bears will have no trouble notching the two wins they need to qualify. Verdict: In

Red Land (Class AAAA, 10-2): Via their win over Carlisle on Wednesday, the Patriots wrapped up a postseason berth. Now they can focus on repeating as Mid-Penn Commonwealth champions.

Shippensburg (Class AAA, 7-2): The Greyhounds still have nine games left and only need two more wins. Verdict: In

Susquenita (Class AAA, 5-7): The Blackhawks are on an impressive three-game winning streak but have to go 5-2 down the stretch to be a playoff team. With opponents like Shippensburg, Waynesboro and Red Land (among others) still on the schedule, a winning record will be tough. Verdict: Out

Trinity (Class AA, 6-8): Five games are left and three are against Milton Hershey, Harrisburg and Steelton-Highspire. To get in, the Shamrocks will have to beat those three and take one from Greencastle-Antrim or James Buchanan. Verdict: In

West Perry (Class AAA, 9-4): The Mustangs need one more win to be back in the postseason. Verdict: In

No comments: