Saturday, November 20, 2010

Projections update

Before the start of the playoffs, we made our annual bold state playoff predicitions. These included picking District 3, region and state champions. Here's an update on how we're doing. Classes listed in order of when the state finals will be played next month.

Class A
Actual teams alive: 15
Correct teams picked: 10
District 3: Had only half of the York Catholic vs. Holy Name final. Millersburg beat the Fighting Irish, 13-12, in the semifinals.
Sleeper update: Bishop McCort (8-4) slipped by second-seeded Bellwood-Antis, 30-29, in the District 6 quarterfinals and will play for district gold next week.
Breakdown: Three of our final four teams are still alive. The only miss was Sharpsville, which lost to Mercyhurst Prep on Friday in the District 10 semifinals.

Class AAA
Actual teams alive: 15
Correct teams picked: 11
District 3: Missed badly on Susquehanna Twp. Had the Indians playing for district gold but they fell to Cocalico in semifinals. Penciled Manheim Central into semifinals also but Barons fell to Lampeter-Strasburg last week. Bishop McDevitt, our district champion, is still alive.
Sleeper update: Cardinal O'Hara lost to Archbishop Wood in last week's Philadelphia Catholic League final. But really, the Lions are probably one of the top five AAA teams in the state. It's brutal to survive the PCL.
Breakdown: Our final four teams and six of the last eight are alive and well.

Class AA
Actual teams alive: 15
Correct teams picked: 11
District 3: Ouch. We liked two-time defending district Lancaster Catholic, who fell hard to Wyomissing. We didn't even have the Spartans winning a game in the postseason and now they face Trinity in the district final Friday.
Sleeper update: Tyrone rolled past Penn Cambria but had to work for a 17-7 victory over Central in the District 6 semifinals. Up next is powerful Forest Hills, who we have in the state semifinals.
Breakdown: Final four are still playing as are six of the last eight.

Class AAAA
Actual teams alive: 15
Correct teams picked: 12
District 3: We only nailed half of the semifinalists. Harrisburg and Governor Mifflin let us down. Plus, we had the Cougars playing for the district title -- they lost to Daniel Boone on Saturday.
Sleeper update: We said to watch out for Ridley but only had them going as far as the District 1 semifinals. In reality, the top-seeded Green Raiders lost their first playoff game, 14-13, to Henderson.
Breakdown: The final four teams are still alive as are seven of the final eight. One of our best picks so far: North Allegheny over Pittsburgh Central Catholic. We have the Tigers in the state final and they're now the favorite to come out of the west.

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