Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Cedar Cliff, Carlisle scenarios

It's coming down to the last week of wrestling for Carlisle and Cedar Cliff to punch their tickets to the District 3 Class AAA Team Tournament next week. Cedar Cliff's scenario is easier to understand and the Colts are the only local team vying for one of the Commonwealth's three spots, so we'll start there.

Commonwealth
The do-or-die meet for the Colts (3-2) is tonight against Middletown (4-2). A win tonight and tomorrow against rival Red Land gives the Colts third place at 5-2. Middletown is at Susquenita tomorrow in a toss-up meet.

The best scenario for Cedar Cliff is to win both. A loss tonight would practically doom the Colts to fourth, even if Middletown losses tomorrow, thanks to head-to-head.

Colonial
Let's start off easy: If Big Spring beats West Perry tomorrow, the Bulldogs sew up the division. A loss to the 1-4 Mustangs is unlikely.

If Cumberland Valley (5-1) beats Waynesboro (4-3) tomorrow the Eagles finish second.

Carlisle is the team on the bubble here. The Thundering Herd (4-2) has Chambersburg (3-3) and West Perry (1-4) on Thursday and Saturday, respectively.

The biggest threat to Carlisle is Waynesboro. Carlisle beat Waynesboro, 53-14, Dec. 6, so the Herd owns the head-to-head meeting but two losses and a Waynesboro win over CV would give the Indians third.

Carlisle's best option is to win both of its meets. A win over Chambersburg gives it the head-to-head advantage against both teams below it. A CV win over Waynesboro all but eliminates the Indians from district contention and at the same time helps Carlisle, but only if the Herd takes care of business.

For Chambersburg to have any shot, it needs to beat Carlisle, have CV beat Waynesboro, hope its postponed meet against CV is rescheduled and win that. A lot to ask, ineed.

In each case, the local teams control their own destiny. If either slip up there are teams below them ready to grab that last playoff spot.

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